Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000591 0.000675 0.000765 0.000867 0.000980 0.001100 0.001238
2025-07-27 0.000452 0.000568 0.000699 0.000858 0.001045 0.001257 0.001512
2025-08-03 0.000373 0.000500 0.000651 0.000843 0.001078 0.001354 0.001698
2025-08-10 0.000324 0.000460 0.000630 0.000853 0.001135 0.001475 0.001911
2025-08-17 0.000284 0.000424 0.000607 0.000854 0.001176 0.001575 0.002100
2025-08-24 0.000240 0.000378 0.000565 0.000826 0.001177 0.001621 0.002218
2025-08-31 0.000204 0.000340 0.000528 0.000801 0.001177 0.001663 0.002330
2025-09-07 0.000182 0.000316 0.000510 0.000799 0.001204 0.001741 0.002488
2025-09-14 0.000163 0.000297 0.000496 0.000799 0.001235 0.001822 0.002651
2025-09-21 0.000144 0.000275 0.000476 0.000790 0.001251 0.001883 0.002789
2025-09-28 0.000127 0.000254 0.000454 0.000776 0.001258 0.001929 0.002906
2025-10-05 0.000120 0.000248 0.000457 0.000798 0.001318 0.002051 0.003129
2025-10-12 0.000111 0.000239 0.000454 0.000812 0.001366 0.002158 0.003336
2025-10-19 0.000099 0.000224 0.000438 0.000805 0.001382 0.002220 0.003481
2025-10-26 0.000087 0.000207 0.000419 0.000790 0.001386 0.002263 0.003600
2025-11-02 0.000081 0.000199 0.000415 0.000799 0.001426 0.002359 0.003796
2025-11-09 0.000073 0.000189 0.000406 0.000801 0.001454 0.002438 0.003968
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000172 0.000382 0.000774 0.001436 0.002447 0.004037
2025-11-23 0.000054 0.000156 0.000361 0.000750 0.001420 0.002458 0.004110
2025-11-30 0.000049 0.000148 0.000352 0.000748 0.001439 0.002522 0.004263
2025-12-07 0.000045 0.000141 0.000344 0.000748 0.001462 0.002594 0.004427
2025-12-14 0.000040 0.000132 0.000333 0.000740 0.001471 0.002642 0.004556
2025-12-21 0.000035 0.000123 0.000319 0.000726 0.001469 0.002673 0.004660